Effects of combination of change in visceral fat and thigh muscle mass on the development of type 2 diabetes.

AIM: We investigated the association between combined changes of visceral fat and thigh muscle over 5 years and incident type 2 diabetes in a prospective study of Japanese Americans.

METHODS: We followed 420 nondiabetic Japanese American subjects for 5 years and assessed visceral fat and thigh muscle by computed tomography (CT) at baseline and at 5 years. We categorized study subjects into 4 body composition change groups: visceral fat loss/thigh muscle gain (VF-loss/TM-gain), visceral fat loss/thigh muscle loss (VF-loss/TM-loss), visceral fat gain/thigh muscle gain (VF-gain/TM-gain), and visceral fat gain/thigh muscle loss (VF-gain/TM-loss) by combining changes from baseline in CT measured visceral fat and estimated thigh muscle areas. We fit a logistic regression model to examine the association between body composition categories and the development of incident type 2 diabetes at 5 years.

RESULTS: Cumulative incidence of type 2 diabetes was 9.8% at 5 years. VF-gain/TM-gain and VF-loss/TM-loss groups had higher risk for incident type 2 diabetes in a model adjusted for age, sex, family history of diabetes, and body mass index compared to VF-loss/TM-gain group as the reference category (OR=6.83 (1.85-25.17), 4.55 (1.06-19.48), respectively). However, the VF-gain/TM-loss group did not show a significant association with the odds of incident diabetes (3.24; 95% CI. 0.78-13.47).

CONCLUSIONS: Concordant gain or loss in visceral fat and thigh muscle was related to higher risk of incident type 2 diabetes compared to the reference combination of loss of visceral fat and gain of thigh muscle in Japanese Americans.